The best indicator for Carvana (CVNA)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Carvana (CVNA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Momentum
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Carvana (CVNA) over ~9.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 64.1% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Carvana (CVNA) — beating buy-and-hold by 30.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Momentum ✓ | Daily | 109.5% | 1.39 | -64.7% | 47.7% | 132 | 64.1% |
| 2 | ROC (10) ✓ | Daily | 109.5% | 1.39 | -64.7% | 47.7% | 132 | 64.1% |
| 3 | Momentum (10) ✓ | Daily | 109.5% | 1.39 | -64.7% | 47.7% | 132 | 64.1% |
| 4 | Williams %R (21) ✓ | Daily | 100.4% | 1.34 | -66.1% | 32.2% | 87 | 55.0% |
| 5 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Daily | 108.8% | 1.33 | -71.3% | 44.2% | 86 | 63.4% |
| 6 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 95.7% | 1.3 | -66.2% | 34.4% | 93 | 50.3% |
| 7 | Pretty Good Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 93.2% | 1.27 | -63.2% | 42.1% | 121 | 47.8% |
| 8 | Disparity Index ✓ | Daily | 91.5% | 1.26 | -63.2% | 41.8% | 122 | 46.1% |
| 9 | DPO (10) ✓ | Daily | 92.4% | 1.26 | -69.8% | 35.9% | 92 | 47.0% |
| 10 | Triangular MA ✓ | Daily | 89.3% | 1.24 | -68.9% | 39.2% | 102 | 43.9% |
| 11 | Ichimoku (fast) ✓ | Daily | 87.0% | 1.24 | -67.3% | 50.0% | 90 | 41.6% |
| 12 | Force Index ✓ | Daily | 90.1% | 1.22 | -80.6% | 39.6% | 106 | 44.7% |
| 13 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 93.7% | 1.22 | -73.3% | 56.1% | 66 | 48.7% |
| 14 | Aroon ✓ | Daily | 86.6% | 1.21 | -70.5% | 47.1% | 68 | 41.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Carvana (CVNA), Momentum on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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