The best indicator for CMS Energy (CMS)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real CMS Energy (CMS) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where CMS Energy (CMS) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
SMA 20/50 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for CMS Energy (CMS) over ~53.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 5.7% CAGR.
CMS Energy (CMS) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for CMS Energy (CMS) — beating buy-and-hold by 3.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.62 | -41.8% | 61.9% | 21 | 5.7% |
| 2 | Historical Volatility Regime ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.62 | -40.4% | 53.2% | 79 | 3.8% |
| 3 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.59 | -34.7% | 57.9% | 19 | 5.2% |
| 4 | WMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.59 | -44.1% | 62.5% | 24 | 5.3% |
| 5 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.59 | -46.1% | 59.1% | 22 | 5.3% |
| 6 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.58 | -38.6% | 55.0% | 20 | 4.9% |
| 7 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.58 | -34.4% | 63.6% | 22 | 4.5% |
| 8 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.57 | -53.3% | 67.9% | 28 | 4.5% |
| 9 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.57 | -34.2% | 72.2% | 18 | 4.8% |
| 10 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.57 | -54.5% | 70.4% | 27 | 4.7% |
| 11 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.56 | -55.0% | 43.4% | 113 | 4.0% |
| 12 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.56 | -35.7% | 57.3% | 89 | 2.9% |
| 13 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.3% | 0.55 | -46.6% | 44.4% | 27 | 4.6% |
| 14 | T3 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.55 | -46.1% | 64.3% | 28 | 4.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on CMS Energy (CMS)
0 of 705 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on CMS Energy (CMS) outright. Another 188 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 419 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | — | 1.37× | 2.6× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.81× | 4.16× |
| Chande Kroll Stop | — | 1.82× | 2.7× |
| SMA 10/40 Cross | — | 1.91× | 3.59× |
| SMA 10/30 Cross | — | 1.95× | 3.7× |
| T3 8/21 Cross | — | 2.01× | 3.67× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For CMS Energy (CMS), SMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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