The best indicator for Brown–Forman (BF-B)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Brown–Forman (BF-B) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Brown–Forman (BF-B) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
SMA 200 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Brown–Forman (BF-B) over ~46.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.7% CAGR.
Brown–Forman (BF-B) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Brown–Forman (BF-B) — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.56 | -48.2% | 57.9% | 19 | -1.7% |
| 2 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.6 | -40.7% | 64.3% | 14 | -0.7% |
| 3 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.8% | 0.55 | -50.1% | 41.2% | 17 | -0.6% |
| 4 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.55 | -30.8% | 80.0% | 35 | -5.3% |
| 5 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.55 | -30.8% | 80.0% | 35 | -5.3% |
| 6 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.55 | -31.5% | 61.4% | 70 | -5.1% |
| 7 | VIDYA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 9.7% | 0.53 | -47.9% | 38.3% | 47 | -1.6% |
| 8 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.53 | -44.4% | 48.5% | 266 | -3.3% |
| 9 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.52 | -38.5% | 75.6% | 82 | -4.6% |
| 10 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.51 | -48.2% | 53.3% | 15 | -2.8% |
| 11 | Order-Flow Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.51 | -30.8% | 84.4% | 32 | -6.1% |
| 12 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.5 | -48.1% | 60.0% | 20 | -3.4% |
| 13 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 9.1% | 0.5 | -64.3% | 49.6% | 141 | -2.1% |
| 14 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.5 | -74.3% | 38.2% | 34 | -2.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Brown–Forman (BF-B)
78 of 707 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Brown–Forman (BF-B) outright. Another 44 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 31 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Williams %R | 2 | none needed | 2.17× |
| Know Sure Thing | 2 | none needed | 2.18× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 2.06× |
| VWAP Bands | 2 | none needed | 3.22× |
| T3 100 Trend | 2 | none needed | 2.88× |
| TRIMA 100 Trend | 1 | 1.18× | 2.7× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Brown–Forman (BF-B), SMA 200 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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