The best indicator for Brown–Forman (BF-B)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Brown–Forman (BF-B) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
SMA 200 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Brown–Forman (BF-B) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.7% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Brown–Forman (BF-B) — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.7% | 0.56 | -48.7% | 57.9% | 19 | -1.7% |
| 2 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.6 | -40.7% | 64.3% | 14 | -0.7% |
| 3 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.8% | 0.55 | -50.1% | 41.2% | 17 | -0.6% |
| 4 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.55 | -31.5% | 80.0% | 35 | -5.3% |
| 5 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.55 | -31.5% | 80.0% | 35 | -5.3% |
| 6 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.55 | -29.7% | 59.2% | 76 | -5.1% |
| 7 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.54 | -39.2% | 74.7% | 83 | -4.3% |
| 8 | VIDYA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 9.8% | 0.53 | -47.9% | 38.3% | 47 | -1.6% |
| 9 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.53 | -44.4% | 48.9% | 264 | -3.3% |
| 10 | Order-Flow Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.52 | -31.5% | 84.8% | 33 | -5.9% |
| 11 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 7.6% | 0.51 | -40.1% | 51.6% | 31 | -3.7% |
| 12 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.51 | -70.6% | 40.6% | 32 | -1.9% |
| 13 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.51 | -48.7% | 50.0% | 16 | -3.0% |
| 14 | TRIX ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.5 | -45.3% | 52.5% | 297 | -4.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Brown–Forman (BF-B), SMA 200 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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