The best indicator for Arm Holdings
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Arm Holdings history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Arm Holdings stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Fisher Center-of-Gravity
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Arm Holdings over ~3.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.6% CAGR.
Arm Holdings on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fisher Center-of-Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 58.5% | 1.64 | -13.4% | 71.4% | 14 | -7.6% |
| 2 | Center of Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 69.3% | 1.41 | -24.9% | 55.6% | 18 | 3.2% |
| 3 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Daily | 97.4% | 1.39 | -34.5% | 45.3% | 75 | 31.6% |
| 4 | Woodie Pivots ✓ | Daily | 92.3% | 1.37 | -47.5% | 49.7% | 157 | 26.5% |
| 5 | Fisher Transform ✓ | Weekly | 91.6% | 1.5 | -23.6% | 76.9% | 13 | 25.5% |
| 6 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 82.6% | 1.34 | -29.9% | 40.0% | 40 | 16.9% |
| 7 | CMO (21) ✓ | Daily | 94.2% | 1.34 | -35.8% | 37.9% | 29 | 28.4% |
| 8 | Schaff Trend Cycle ✓ | Daily | 33.6% | 1.3 | -9.4% | 60.9% | 23 | -32.1% |
| 9 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Daily | 115.5% | 1.5 | -41.5% | 38.5% | 13 | 49.8% |
| 10 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Daily | 86.8% | 1.28 | -36.4% | 41.2% | 17 | 21.0% |
| 11 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Daily | 77.4% | 1.28 | -37.0% | 56.2% | 16 | 11.7% |
| 12 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Daily | 86.1% | 1.28 | -35.9% | 46.2% | 26 | 20.3% |
| 13 | Q-Stick ✓ | Daily | 82.4% | 1.26 | -43.8% | 48.1% | 54 | 16.6% |
| 14 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 84.1% | 1.25 | -40.8% | 39.5% | 38 | 18.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Arm Holdings
39 of 159 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Arm Holdings outright. Another 87 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 30 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accumulation Swing Index | 1 | 3.28× | 4.26× |
| Swing Index | 1 | 3.28× | 4.26× |
| Rate of Change | 1 | none needed | 3.94× |
| EMA-10 Trend | 1 | none needed | 4.85× |
| Vortex | 1 | none needed | 3.94× |
| Relative Vigor Index | 1 | none needed | 4.65× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Arm Holdings, Fisher Center-of-Gravity on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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