The best indicator for Arm Holdings
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Arm Holdings history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Chande Forecast Osc.
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Arm Holdings over ~2.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 25.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Daily | 110.2% | 1.51 | -34.5% | 46.3% | 67 | 25.4% |
| 2 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Daily | 121.3% | 1.48 | -40.4% | 30.6% | 36 | 36.4% |
| 3 | CMO (21) ✓ | Daily | 115.0% | 1.48 | -34.5% | 40.0% | 25 | 30.1% |
| 4 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Daily | 112.5% | 1.47 | -34.5% | 70.6% | 17 | 27.6% |
| 5 | Smoothed MA (Wilder) ✓ | Daily | 111.1% | 1.46 | -31.3% | 34.8% | 23 | 26.3% |
| 6 | Cutler's RSI ✓ | Daily | 108.0% | 1.44 | -32.4% | 38.2% | 34 | 23.2% |
| 7 | ROC (14) ✓ | Daily | 108.0% | 1.44 | -32.4% | 38.2% | 34 | 23.2% |
| 8 | CMO (14) ✓ | Daily | 108.0% | 1.44 | -32.4% | 38.2% | 34 | 23.2% |
| 9 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Daily | 107.3% | 1.43 | -36.4% | 46.7% | 15 | 22.4% |
| 10 | Fisher Center-of-Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 62.7% | 1.77 | -13.4% | 75.0% | 12 | -23.4% |
| 11 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 90.1% | 1.41 | -29.9% | 38.9% | 36 | 5.2% |
| 12 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 104.9% | 1.41 | -35.3% | 39.4% | 33 | 20.0% |
| 13 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 104.9% | 1.41 | -35.3% | 39.4% | 33 | 20.0% |
| 14 | ROC (20) ✓ | Daily | 102.3% | 1.4 | -39.0% | 44.4% | 27 | 17.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Arm Holdings, Chande Forecast Osc. on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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