The best indicator for Arm Holdings
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Arm Holdings history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Arm Holdings stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Chande Forecast Osc.
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Arm Holdings over ~2.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 25.4% CAGR.
Arm Holdings on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Daily | 110.2% | 1.51 | -34.5% | 46.3% | 67 | 25.4% |
| 2 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Daily | 121.3% | 1.48 | -40.4% | 30.6% | 36 | 36.4% |
| 3 | CMO (21) ✓ | Daily | 115.0% | 1.48 | -34.5% | 40.0% | 25 | 30.1% |
| 4 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Daily | 112.5% | 1.47 | -34.5% | 70.6% | 17 | 27.6% |
| 5 | Smoothed MA (Wilder) ✓ | Daily | 111.1% | 1.46 | -31.3% | 34.8% | 23 | 26.3% |
| 6 | Cutler's RSI ✓ | Daily | 108.0% | 1.44 | -32.4% | 38.2% | 34 | 23.2% |
| 7 | ROC (14) ✓ | Daily | 108.0% | 1.44 | -32.4% | 38.2% | 34 | 23.2% |
| 8 | CMO (14) ✓ | Daily | 108.0% | 1.44 | -32.4% | 38.2% | 34 | 23.2% |
| 9 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Daily | 107.3% | 1.43 | -36.4% | 46.7% | 15 | 22.4% |
| 10 | Fisher Center-of-Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 62.7% | 1.77 | -13.4% | 75.0% | 12 | -23.4% |
| 11 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 90.1% | 1.41 | -29.9% | 38.9% | 36 | 5.2% |
| 12 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 104.9% | 1.41 | -35.3% | 39.4% | 33 | 20.0% |
| 13 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 104.9% | 1.41 | -35.3% | 39.4% | 33 | 20.0% |
| 14 | ROC (20) ✓ | Daily | 102.3% | 1.4 | -39.0% | 44.4% | 27 | 17.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Arm Holdings
39 of 159 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Arm Holdings outright. Another 87 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 30 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accumulation Swing Index | 1 | 3.28× | 4.26× |
| Swing Index | 1 | 3.28× | 4.26× |
| Rate of Change | 1 | none needed | 3.94× |
| EMA-10 Trend | 1 | none needed | 4.85× |
| Vortex | 1 | none needed | 3.94× |
| Relative Vigor Index | 1 | none needed | 4.65× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Arm Holdings, Chande Forecast Osc. on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Arm Holdings’s signal flips
We track Arm Holdings daily. Its backtested best indicator, Chande Forecast Osc. (Daily), is flat right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.