The best indicator for Applied Materials (AMAT)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Applied Materials (AMAT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Applied Materials (AMAT) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Supertrend Fast (10,2)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Applied Materials (AMAT) over ~46.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.3% CAGR.
Applied Materials (AMAT) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Applied Materials (AMAT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 18.4% | 0.68 | -60.3% | 51.9% | 54 | -2.3% |
| 2 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Weekly | 19.4% | 0.68 | -63.5% | 53.3% | 92 | -1.3% |
| 3 | Supertrend (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 18.4% | 0.68 | -60.3% | 51.9% | 54 | -2.3% |
| 4 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | Weekly | 19.0% | 0.68 | -71.6% | 41.4% | 29 | -1.8% |
| 5 | Zero-Lag EMA Cross ✓ | Weekly | 17.6% | 0.67 | -62.7% | 47.1% | 104 | -3.1% |
| 6 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.67 | -75.9% | 45.6% | 68 | -2.5% |
| 7 | ZLEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 17.6% | 0.67 | -62.7% | 47.1% | 104 | -3.1% |
| 8 | Price Momentum Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 18.0% | 0.67 | -61.0% | 54.7% | 64 | -2.7% |
| 9 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Weekly | 19.1% | 0.66 | -84.0% | 35.4% | 82 | -1.6% |
| 10 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.66 | -60.1% | 48.4% | 93 | -2.5% |
| 11 | Volatility Stop (ATR) ✓ | Weekly | 17.2% | 0.66 | -72.8% | 50.0% | 64 | -3.5% |
| 12 | Coral Trend ✓ | Weekly | 18.4% | 0.65 | -60.1% | 55.6% | 45 | -2.3% |
| 13 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 17.3% | 0.64 | -73.1% | 43.3% | 30 | -3.4% |
| 14 | Momentum ✓ | Weekly | 17.3% | 0.64 | -57.9% | 45.1% | 144 | -3.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Applied Materials (AMAT)
2 of 689 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Applied Materials (AMAT) outright. Another 295 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 371 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ichimoku TK Cross | 1 | 2.41× | 2.93× |
| Chandelier Exit | 1 | none needed | 2.12× |
| Awesome Oscillator | — | 1.3× | 2.14× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 1.3× | 2.36× |
| EMA 9/26 Cross | — | 1.31× | 2.2× |
| Relative Momentum Index | — | 1.34× | 2.33× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Applied Materials (AMAT), Supertrend Fast (10,2) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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