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The best indicator for Aflac (AFL)

We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Aflac (AFL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling LONG right now — EMA 100 Trend (Weekly) has been long for 291 bars, as of 2026-06-08.

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Trend · Weekly

EMA 100 Trend

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Aflac (AFL) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.3% CAGR.

14.0%

CAGR

0.66

Sharpe

-54.8%

Max DD

46.3%

Win rate

10.29

Profit factor

-4.3%

vs Buy&Hold

Confluence · Weekly

Best multi-indicator combo

Hull SuiteMACD

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Aflac (AFL) — trailing buy-and-hold by 10.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

7.5%

CAGR

0.48

Sharpe

53.6%

Win rate

Trades

-10.8%

vs Buy&Hold

Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly

EMA 100 Trend

-4.3% · Sharpe 0.66

Daily

Markov Regime

-0.5% · Sharpe 0.64

Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#	Indicator	TF	CAGR	Sharpe	Max DD	Win	Trades	vs B&H
1	EMA 100 Trend ✓	Weekly	14.0%	0.66	-54.8%	46.3%	41	-4.3%
2	RSI (50) ✓	Weekly	14.2%	0.66	-54.8%	47.6%	42	-4.1%
3	Disparity (100) ✓	Weekly	14.0%	0.66	-54.8%	46.3%	41	-4.3%
4	Markov Regime ✓	Weekly	16.9%	0.66	-79.7%	64.7%	17	-1.4%
5	SMA 100 Trend ✓	Weekly	13.3%	0.65	-55.0%	46.2%	39	-4.9%
6	CCI (100) ✓	Weekly	13.6%	0.65	-49.7%	43.3%	30	-4.7%
7	TRIMA 100 Trend ✓	Weekly	12.8%	0.64	-41.0%	53.6%	28	-5.5%
8	Markov Regime ✓	Daily	17.5%	0.64	-82.7%	42.6%	47	-0.5%
9	McGinley 100 Trend ✓	Daily	17.3%	0.63	-82.7%	23.8%	21	-0.7%
10	TRIX ✓	Weekly	10.9%	0.63	-38.0%	65.0%	60	-7.4%
11	VIDYA 30 Trend ✓	Weekly	13.6%	0.63	-57.2%	42.9%	35	-4.7%
12	ROC (30) ✓	Weekly	12.4%	0.63	-42.3%	53.4%	88	-5.9%
13	CMO (30) ✓	Weekly	12.4%	0.63	-42.3%	53.4%	88	-5.9%
14	Momentum (30) ✓	Weekly	12.4%	0.63	-42.3%	53.4%	88	-5.9%

✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Aflac (AFL), EMA 100 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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The best indicator for Aflac (AFL)

EMA 100 Trend

Best multi-indicator combo

The winner on each chart

Every indicator, ranked

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