The best indicator for Aflac (AFL)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Aflac (AFL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA 100 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Aflac (AFL) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.3% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Aflac (AFL) — trailing buy-and-hold by 10.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 14.0% | 0.66 | -54.8% | 46.3% | 41 | -4.3% |
| 2 | RSI (50) ✓ | Weekly | 14.2% | 0.66 | -54.8% | 47.6% | 42 | -4.1% |
| 3 | Disparity (100) ✓ | Weekly | 14.0% | 0.66 | -54.8% | 46.3% | 41 | -4.3% |
| 4 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 16.9% | 0.66 | -79.7% | 64.7% | 17 | -1.4% |
| 5 | SMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 13.3% | 0.65 | -55.0% | 46.2% | 39 | -4.9% |
| 6 | CCI (100) ✓ | Weekly | 13.6% | 0.65 | -49.7% | 43.3% | 30 | -4.7% |
| 7 | TRIMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.8% | 0.64 | -41.0% | 53.6% | 28 | -5.5% |
| 8 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 17.5% | 0.64 | -82.7% | 42.6% | 47 | -0.5% |
| 9 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 17.3% | 0.63 | -82.7% | 23.8% | 21 | -0.7% |
| 10 | TRIX ✓ | Weekly | 10.9% | 0.63 | -38.0% | 65.0% | 60 | -7.4% |
| 11 | VIDYA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 13.6% | 0.63 | -57.2% | 42.9% | 35 | -4.7% |
| 12 | ROC (30) ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.63 | -42.3% | 53.4% | 88 | -5.9% |
| 13 | CMO (30) ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.63 | -42.3% | 53.4% | 88 | -5.9% |
| 14 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.63 | -42.3% | 53.4% | 88 | -5.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Aflac (AFL), EMA 100 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Aflac’s signal flips
We track Aflac daily. Its backtested best indicator, EMA 100 Trend (Weekly), is long right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.